Within-year concentration
Two years, almost the same toll. Not the same shape.
A big year is usually a concentrated year. But the size of a total does not fix how the deaths beneath it are distributed.
Open conflict-data analysis
Making the structure of recorded conflict violence legible.
ConflictLens publishes readable analyses backed by reproducible notebooks, documented sources and explicit methodological limits.
Featured analysis
Anatomy of concentration
The average is one of the most familiar numbers in data analysis, and one of the easiest to misread. When a tiny fraction of cases carries most of the toll, the mean has to be read alongside the whole distribution."
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Conflict deaths
The line has risen again. But not everywhere.
The global organized-violence toll has risen again since 2023. But a rising total does not mean that recorded deaths are increasing across the world in the same way.
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Conflict data
Seven years out of thirty-seven. Half the toll.
Seven years account for half of UCDP's best-estimate organized-violence deaths since 1989. But the exact cutoff depends on fatality uncertainty, and five of those years form a recent consecutive cluster.