Conflict data - ConflictLens

By Ludovic Lafon 2026-07-29 11 min read

Data analysis

Anatomy of concentration

The average is one of the most familiar numbers in data analysis, and one of the easiest to misread. When a tiny fraction of cases carries most of the toll, the mean has to be read alongside the whole distribution."

By Ludovic Lafon 2026-07-22 8 min read

Within-year concentration

Two years, almost the same toll. Not the same shape.

A big year is usually a concentrated year. But the size of a total does not fix how the deaths beneath it are distributed.

By Ludovic Lafon 2026-07-15 8 min read

Conflict deaths

The line has risen again. But not everywhere.

The global organized-violence toll has risen again since 2023. But a rising total does not mean that recorded deaths are increasing across the world in the same way.

By Ludovic Lafon 2026-07-09 9 min read

Conflict data

Seven years out of thirty-seven. Half the toll.

Seven years account for half of UCDP's best-estimate organized-violence deaths since 1989. But the exact cutoff depends on fatality uncertainty, and five of those years form a recent consecutive cluster.